To help you get a head start, we've looked at Gold Derby's Oscar predictions and created a weighted list based on their predictions for the top six categories: Best Picture, Best Director, and the four lead and supporting acting awards. (We figure those are the awards that casual viewers are most interested in.)
Their lists rank their predictions in each category, extending far beyond the number of available nominees for each award. This chart I've made shows:
- Predicted Noms in Top 6 Categories: For each film, the number of times in the top six categories their odds have placed them high enough to be nominated in that category.
- Total Weight: My own mathematical weight for each film that appears on any of Gold Derby's lists, even if they're farther down. The higher they appear on a list, the greater the weight. Some films may have a high weight but still not be predicted for an award if they were on many prediction lists but just below the cutoff for each category.
Rank | Film | Predicted Noms in Top 6 Cats | Total Weight |
1 | Birdman | 5 | 568 |
2 | Foxcatcher | 4 | 628 |
3 | Boyhood | 4 | 483 |
4 | The Imitation Game | 3 | 385 |
5 | The Theory of Everything | 3 | 374 |
6 | Interstellar | 2 | 846 |
7 | Gone Girl | 2 | 557 |
8 | Unbroken | 2 | 460 |
9 | Wild | 2 | 427 |
10 | Selma | 1 | 705 |
11 | Into the Woods | 1 | 676 |
12 | Mr. Turner | 1 | 400 |
13 | The Judge | 1 | 372 |
14 | American Sniper | 1 | 355 |
15 | Whiplash | 1 | 353 |
16 | Big Eyes | 1 | 335 |
17 | Still Alice | 1 | 256 |
18 | Inherent Vice | 732 | |
19 | The Grand Budapest Hotel | 514 | |
20 | Kill the Messenger | 512 | |
21 | St. Vincent | 474 | |
22 | A Most Violent Year | 419 | |
23 | Fury | 418 | |
24 | The Homesman | 380 | |
25 | Get On Up | 375 | |
26 | The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby | 370 | |
27 | Men Women and Children | 361 | |
28 | Dear White People | 358 | |
29 | Exodus: Gods and Kings | 353 | |
30 | Love Is Strange | 333 | |
31 | The Gambler | 327 | |
32 | The Fault in Our Stars | 316 | |
33 | Begin Again | 295 | |
34 | Rosewater | 294 | |
35 | Miss Julie | 283 | |
36 | The Good Lie | 280 | |
37 | Nightcrawler | 271 | |
38 | Pride | 244 | |
39 | Calvary | 225 | |
40 | Annie | 198 | |
41 | Chef | 187 | |
42 | Maps to the Stars | 174 | |
43 | Top Five | 172 | |
44 | The Hobbit: The Battle of the 5 Armies | 160 | |
45 | Two Days One Night | 90 | |
46 | Tracks | 89 | |
47 | Maleficent | 85 | |
48 | Locke | 84 | |
49 | A Most Wanted Man | 82 | |
50 | The Hundred-Foot Journey | 81 | |
51 | Trash | 76 | |
52 | The Lego Movie | 74 | |
53 | The Giver | 69 | |
54 | Noah | 63 | |
55 | This Is Where I Leave You | 59 |